This section offers links to a growing number of business case resources, including recorded Web seminars, articles, white papers, case studies, and example models. You can also download a free trial version of Crystal Ball to see how it can help improve your business forecasts and decisions!
WHITE PAPERS & ARTICLES
RECORDED WEB SEMINARS
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Risky Business: Gain a Competitive Advantage by Learning How to Control Risk
Learn how to identify and then control uncertainty in your capital investment projects so you can take advantage of promising, yet risky, opportunities.
Presented by David Vose, of the Vose Consulting Group
Recorded February 2, 2006
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Mastering a Key Strategic Challenge: Sustained Value Creation through Business Cases
There are few tasks as important, or as difficult, as deciding upon a new strategic direction for your organisation. Many people still rely on traditional cost-benefit-analysis, NPV, ROI, and decision trees, when developing business cases. This seminar provide case studies with insights that helped decision makers create more valuable strategies, assure robustness and sustainability, and align their organisation for execution.
Presented by Dr. Volker E. Pollmann, Ph.D, a Managing Director at Solution Matrix
Recorded March 28, 2007
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NPV and the Impact of Risk
Learn how to integrate NPV with defined accounting measures like ARR and ROI.
Presented by John Casticas, Managing Partner, John Nicholas & Company
Recorded April 10, 2007
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I'll Be Back: DVD Sales Forecasting
Describes a methodology used to gauge how many DVDs to create for newly released movies, along with the challenge of determining how reliable past behavior is at predicting future behavior.
Presented by Michael Lieberman, President of Multivariate Solutions
Recorded April 24, 2007
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Aplicaciones de las Simulaciones de Monte Carlo (Crystal Ball) en la Valoración de Riesgos de Mercado
Los participantes observarán en el programa Crystal Ball la solución de diferentes módulos de valoración de riesgo de mercado.
Presented by Camilo Romero, Conferencista internacional y entrenador certificado en Crystal Ball y Real Options Analysis Toolkit
Recorded January 24, 2007
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Providing What Decision Makers Need - Insights
Illustrate with case studies how to create decision frameworks that engage decision makers in a dialog that actively uses the insights that stochastic analysis tools can provide.
Presented by Dr. Gerald A. Bush, Ph.D., founder and chairman of Decision Strategies.
Recorded October 11, 2006
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EXAMPLE USES
The following examples were provided by our customers and represent
only some of the business case applications for
Crystal Ball.
- Assessing statistical output of nondiscrete variables in securities investing
- Business case analysis for new product line expansion and Six Sigma baseline and benefits
- Conduct financial analysis during proposal preparation
- Economic analysis of investment activities
- Estimating schedule, financial and business risks
- Forecasting, modeling and simulation
- Help with deciding which real estate projects to undertake while optimizing returns for both our company and our equity investors
- New business analysis, decisions and operational budgetary analysis
- Project probabilities on upcoming business opportunities
- Review Financial Models for Public Private Partnership projects regulated by the National Treasury, RSA, so as to give market confidence on procurement process of such projects.
- Risk analyses associated with the preparation of business cases
- Sensitivity analysis of projected public benefits of a proposed wireless broadband system -- analysis to be filed with the FCC
- Strategic analysis
- To have a better understanding in data. And to make better decisions.
TEXTBOOKS
This section offers links to a growing number of business intelligence resources, including recorded Web seminars, articles, white papers, case studies, and example models. You can also download a free trial version of Crystal Ball to see how it can help improve your business forecasts and decisions!
RECORDED WEB SEMINARS
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Can BI Get Better? Add Risk Analysis To Business Intelligence And Accurately Measure The Significance Of Risk
Learn how to add Crystal Ball risk analysis software and stochastic methods to BI to measure the significance of the risk, highlight where change will be most effective and decide where to act. Bill will show, with a real-world case study of Real Estate sales performance, how to increase the power and relevance of your KPIs.
Presented by Bill Erwin, Applied Business Intelligence Specialist
Recorded June 14, 2006
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This section offers links to a growing number of litigation resources, including recorded Web seminars, articles, white papers, case studies, and example models. You can also download a free trial version of Crystal Ball to see how it can help improve your business forecasts and decisions!
WHITE PAPERS & ARTICLES
EXAMPLE MODELS
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Decision Tree with Monte Carlo Simulation for Patent Defense
From: Mark E. Zwolak, CFM
Detail: A decision tree is an excellent analytical technique to help you choose between several different options with different probabilities of success. When used with the Monte Carlo Simulation technique, you can further understand the probability profiles for each of the options presented as well as their overlapping profiles, which can help you to make a more educated and informed decision with regards to risk.
In this user-contributed example, a competitor is having success with selling a product in the marketplace that our internal general counsel believes is infringing
upon valid patents that we hold. Legal counsel believes that the probability of patent validity is 80% and that the probability of patent infringement is 80%.
To "win" the case, the patent must be valid and infringed. We, as a company, have 2 basic options - 1) litigate 2) do nothing. Should we litigate we would have 3 basic outcomes - 1) litigate
and win 2) litigate and lose and 3) settle for a royalty rate. Using Monte Carlo simulation and a decision tree structure points the way to the level of risk related to each of these options. |
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For:
Crystal Ball
Level:
Simple |
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Hocus Pocus: Using Crystal Ball to Bring Litigation in
Focus